Safe Assets
Publication Year
2024
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The price of a safe asset reflects not only the expected discounted future cash flows but also future service flows, since retrading allows partial insurance of idiosyncratic risk in an incomplete markets setting. This lowers the issuers’ interest burden. As idiosyncratic risk rises during recessions, so does the value of the service flows bestowing the safe asset with a negative β. The resulting exorbitant privilege resolves government debt valuation puzzles and allows the government to run a permanent (primary) deficit without ever paying back its debt, but the government faces a “Debt Laffer Curve”.
Keywords
Journal
Journal of Political Economy
Volume
132
Start Page
3603
Pages
3603-3657
Date Published
11/2024