A Global Safe Asset From and For Emerging Economies
Publication Year
2019
Type
Book Chapter
Abstract
This paper examines international capital flows induced by flight-to-safety and proposes a new global safe asset. In the model domestic investors have to co-invest in a safe asset along with their physical capital. At times of crisis, investors replace the initially safe domestic government bonds with safe US Treasuries and fire-sell part of their capital. The reduction in physical capital lowers GDP and tax revenue, leading to increased default risk justifying the loss of the government bond's safe-asset status. We compare two ways to mitigate this self-fulfilling scenario. In the ``buffer approachâ international reserve holding reduces the severity of a crisis. In the ``rechannelling approach'' flight-to-safety capital flows are rechannelled from international cross-border flows to flows across two EME asset classes. The two asset classes are the senior and junior bond of tranched portfolio of EME sovereign bonds.
Book Title
Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Transmission Mechanisms and Policy Implications
Pages
111-167
Publisher
Central Bank of Chile
City
Santiago de Chile